Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.058402 0.068520 0.079813 0.093345 0.109114 0.126905 0.148499
2025-08-10 0.043787 0.057246 0.073899 0.095990 0.124502 0.160044 0.207708
2025-08-17 0.033123 0.047088 0.065796 0.092634 0.130093 0.180477 0.253371
2025-08-24 0.027007 0.041141 0.061356 0.092279 0.138297 0.204153 0.305499
2025-08-31 0.022381 0.036205 0.057136 0.090988 0.144229 0.224608 0.355046
2025-09-07 0.019587 0.033427 0.055466 0.092914 0.154766 0.252652 0.419106
2025-09-14 0.016821 0.030158 0.052405 0.091960 0.160290 0.273192 0.473556
2025-09-21 0.014360 0.026959 0.048904 0.089603 0.162904 0.288956 0.521678
2025-09-28 0.012282 0.024080 0.045483 0.086783 0.164127 0.302202 0.566711
2025-10-05 0.011223 0.022904 0.044911 0.088962 0.174487 0.332515 0.645714
2025-10-12 0.010133 0.021492 0.043675 0.089661 0.182063 0.358487 0.719627
2025-10-19 0.009181 0.020203 0.042482 0.090235 0.189380 0.384674 0.796903
2025-10-26 0.008391 0.019153 0.041667 0.091551 0.198545 0.415913 0.888901
2025-11-02 0.007819 0.018493 0.041571 0.094370 0.211215 0.455757 1.003639
2025-11-09 0.006824 0.016723 0.038847 0.091112 0.210445 0.467707 1.061105
2025-11-16 0.006176 0.015656 0.037522 0.090772 0.216009 0.493682 1.152027
2025-11-23 0.005546 0.014530 0.035898 0.089502 0.219259 0.514898 1.234814
2025-11-30 0.005184 0.014013 0.035630 0.091398 0.230116 0.554400 1.364179
2025-12-07 0.004698 0.013102 0.034280 0.090459 0.234020 0.578276 1.459602
2025-12-14 0.004197 0.012070 0.032484 0.088140 0.234197 0.593311 1.535445
2025-12-21 0.003733 0.011064 0.030613 0.085365 0.232836 0.604419 1.602866
2025-12-28 0.003535 0.010776 0.030595 0.087510 0.244561 0.649379 1.761535
2026-01-04 0.003293 0.010323 0.030069 0.088197 0.252485 0.685584 1.901804